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Novak Djokovic - Kamil Majchrzak: our prediction

07/03/2026•22:45

Novak Djokovic

2:1

4•6

6•1

6•2

Finished

#76

Kamil Majchrzak

Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzak Preview — BNP Paribas Open

Novak Djokovic, the undisputed favorite, faces Kamil Majchrzak in a very one-sided match. The statistics and odds reflect a clear superiority for Djokovic, who should win without much difficulty, likely in two sets.

Our Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzak predictions

Novak Djokovic to Win

Djokovic is the overwhelming favorite with odds of 1.09. His win statistics as a favorite are excellent (80% in the last 10 matches). No known injury alert. The level gap with Majchrzak is substantial.

1.1

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Djokovic has won 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets in his last 10 matches. As a favorite, this rate is 60%. Majchrzak, as an outsider, loses 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. The probability of a short match is high.

1.3

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

A two-set win for Djokovic, potentially with tight scores (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), would lead to a total games count around 19-20. Majchrzak might offer some resistance, but Djokovic's dominance should limit the number of games. The bet is consistent with a two-set win.

1.45

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzak

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzak Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Novak Djokovic	Kamil Majchrzak
Win \| Lose	8 2	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	42%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	57%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	30%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	85%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%