Rugby

Tennis

Gabriel Diallo - Yibing Wu: our prediction

20/03/2026•22:40

#49

Gabriel Diallo

2:0

6•2

7•6

Finished

#77

Yibing Wu

Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wu Preview — Miami Open

Gabriel Diallo faces Yibing Wu at the Miami Open. Wu is the favorite with odds of 1.77 against 2.01 for Diallo. Recent statistics show better form for Wu, with 70% wins in the last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Diallo. Wu is also very effective as a favorite (80% wins). The match is played on hard court, a fast surface that could favor Wu's aggressive game. No injuries reported for either player.

Our Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wu predictions

Yibing Wu to Win

Yibing Wu is clearly the favorite (odds 1.77) and shows significantly better form with 70% wins in the last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Diallo. His effectiveness as a favorite is 80%. On hard court, his aggressive game should make the difference. No injuries disrupt this dynamic.

1.8

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Yibing Wu has a 100% rate of matches in 2 sets when not in a Grand Slam (indicator 'en2setall'). As a favorite, this rate is 90% ('en2set'). Diallo, as an underdog, wins a set in 60% of cases ('win1set_asoutsider_g'), but Wu's dominant form and ability to finish quickly on hard court make a 2-set match likely.

1.61

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

Based on the probability of a 2-set match (under 2.5 sets) and Wu's dominant form, a scenario with tight but not extremely long sets is conceivable. Wu, as a favorite, loses a set in only 30% of cases ('perd1set_asfav_g'), which limits extensions. However, Diallo can be combative (60% chance of winning a set as an underdog), so the total games could exceed 22.5 if sets are tight. Confidence is medium due to this uncertainty.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wu

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wu Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Gabriel Diallo	Yibing Wu
Win \| Lose	3 7	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	80%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	80%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	20%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	20%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	60%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%