Rugby

Tennis

Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Carreno Busta: our prediction

22/03/2026•11:00

#51

Roberto Carballes Baena

0:2

4•6

3•6

Finished

#10

Pablo Carreno Busta

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Carreno Busta Preview — Murcia

ATP match in Murcia between Roberto Carballes Baena and Pablo Carreno Busta. Carreno Busta is the favorite with odds of 1.47, showing superior recent form (80% wins in the last 10 matches). Carballes Baena, the underdog (odds 2.51), shows more irregular form (60% wins). Statistics suggest a tight match with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.

Our Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Carreno Busta predictions

Pablo Carreno Busta to Win

Carreno Busta is clearly the favorite (odds 1.47) and shows excellent recent form with 80% wins in the last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Carballes Baena. His statistics as a favorite (70% wins) are solid. No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.

1.38

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Carballes Baena, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 60% of cases. Carreno Busta, as a favorite with odds around 1.47, loses at least one set in 50% of cases. The combination of these factors makes Over 2.5 sets very likely.

2.6

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

A three-set match (previous prediction) naturally increases the total number of games. Even in case of a two-set win by Carreno Busta, his statistics show he often loses a set (50% of the time), which can lead to tight sets and a high total game count. Caution is advised as a straightforward two-set match could stay under the threshold.

2.13

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Carreno Busta

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Carreno Busta Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Roberto Carballes Baena	Pablo Carreno Busta
Win \| Lose	6 4	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	37%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	62%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	30%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%