Rugby

Tennis

Alex Barrena - Igor Ribeiro Marcondes: our prediction

25/03/2026•00:45

#190

Alex Barrena

2:1

6•4

1•6

7•6

Finished

#231

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Alex Barrena vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Preview — Sao Paulo

ATP match in São Paulo between Alex Barrena and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. Marcondes is the favorite (odds 1.62) with better recent form (5W/5L vs 4W/6L) and excellent performance as a favorite (90% wins). Barrena, the underdog (odds 2.19), has a lower win statistic but can be competitive, particularly in winning a set.

Our Alex Barrena vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes predictions

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes to Win

Marcondes is the clear favorite with odds of 1.62. Over the last 10 matches, he has a record of 5 wins and 5 losses, compared to 4W/6L for Barrena. Most importantly, when favored, Marcondes wins 90% of the time (9/10). His overall win statistic (50%) is also slightly better than Barrena's (40%). No injuries reported.

1.6

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with the over 2.5 sets prediction. A three-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 total games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) can reach 25 games. Given the expected competitiveness and the favorite's set loss statistics, the total number of games should be high.

1.98

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics suggest a potentially close match. Barrena, as an underdog, wins at least one set 50% of the time. Marcondes, as a favorite, loses at least one set 50% of the time. Furthermore, 50% of Marcondes' recent matches (non-Grand Slam) have gone to three sets. This indicates a significant probability of the match going to a third set.

2.38

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alex Barrena vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alex Barrena vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alex Barrena	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Win \| Lose	4 6	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	75%