Alex Barrena - Roman Andres Burruchaga: our prediction
27/03/2026•19:35

#190

Alex Barrena
0:2
1•6
1•3
Finished

#30

Roman Andres Burruchaga
-
1
-
X
-
2
Alex Barrena vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Preview — Sao Paulo
ATP tennis match in São Paulo between Alex Barrena and Roman Andres Burruchaga. Burruchaga is the favorite with odds of 1.31, while Barrena is the outsider at 3.16. Statistics show Burruchaga has a strong tendency to play 3-set matches (80% excluding Grand Slams), and Barrena has a good ability to win at least one set as an outsider (60%). No injuries reported.
Our Alex Barrena vs Roman Andres Burruchaga predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Burruchaga plays 80% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) in 3 sets. Barrena, as an outsider, wins at least one set in 60% of cases. The odds of 1.31 for Burruchaga suggest a potentially tight match where he could drop a set.
2.54
Confidence
High
Victory for Roman Andres Burruchaga
Burruchaga is clearly the favorite (odds 1.31). He has a 70% win rate as a favorite and solid recent form (6 wins in last 10 matches). Barrena has a 60% loss rate in his last 10 matches.
1.34
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets (prediction 1), the total games should exceed 22.5. A 3-set match, even with tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 = 30 games), easily surpasses this limit. Caution is due as Burruchaga could win in 2 tight sets, but statistics lean towards a long match.
2.12
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Alex Barrena vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alex Barrena vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 80% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 66% |
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