Rugby

Tennis

Marin Cilic - Alexander Zverev: our prediction

23/03/2026•23:05

Marin Cilic

1:2

2•6

7•5

4•6

Finished

Alexander Zverev

Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev Preview — Miami Open

Alexander Zverev, the clear favorite (odds 1.13), faces Marin Cilic (odds 5.74) at the Miami Open. Zverev, in better recent form and more effective as a favorite, is widely expected to win. The match is best-of-2 sets on hard court, a surface suitable for both players.

Our Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev predictions

Alexander Zverev to Win

Zverev is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.13). His statistics as a favorite are excellent (90% win rate). His recent form is superior to Cilic's (70% vs 60% win rate in last 10 matches). The current gap in level and consistency is significant.

1.14

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

As a favorite, Zverev wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets on the main tour (outside Grand Slams). Cilic, as an underdog, loses 90% of his matches in 2 sets. The likelihood of a quick match in Zverev's favor is high.

1.35

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match

If Zverev wins in 2 clear sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total games would be 19. Given the likely dominance of the favorite and tight set statistics, a total under 22.5 games is a plausible scenario.

1.73

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marin Cilic	Alexander Zverev
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	75%