Rugby

Tennis

Matias Soto - Nicolas Mejia: our prediction

04/04/2026•01:45

#223

Matias Soto

0:2

6•7

4•6

Finished

#125

Nicolas Mejia

Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejia Preview — San Luis Potosi

Nicolas Mejia is the clear favorite (odds 1.38) against Matias Soto (odds 2.83). Mejia shows excellent performance as a favorite (90% win rate) and solid form. Soto, although the underdog, has positive recent form (70% win rate). The match is played on clay in San Luis Potosi, and statistics suggest a likely two-set match.

Our Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejia predictions

Nicolas Mejia to Win

Nicolas Mejia is the designated favorite (odds 1.38) with impressive statistics: 90% win rate as a favorite in his last 10 matches and an overall form of 5 wins out of 10. He faces Matias Soto who, despite a recent form of 70% wins, has a low success rate (20%) as an underdog. The level difference and Mejia's consistency as a favorite are major assets.

1.37

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Both players have a high rate of two-set matches (80% each) in their last 10 matches outside Grand Slams. Mejia, as a favorite, wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets, while Soto, as an underdog, loses 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match (2-0 or 2-1 victory) is therefore high, supporting the 'Under 2.5 Sets' bet.

1.46

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a two-set match. If Mejia wins 2-0, a typical score (6-3, 6-4) gives 19 games, i.e., less than 22.5. Even in case of tight sets, a two-set match rarely exceeds 22 games if the sets are not extremely close. Mejia's solid favorite form and quick set statistics support this scenario.

1.76

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejia

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejia Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Matias Soto	Nicolas Mejia
Win \| Lose	7 3	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%