Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm: our prediction
07/04/2026•00:10

#71

Alex Rybakov
2:1
3•6
7•6
6•3
Finished

#33

Martin Damm
-
1
-
X
-
2
Alex Rybakov vs Martin Damm Preview — Sarasota
Martin Damm is the clear favorite against Alex Rybakov, with odds at 1.29. Recent form statistics and performance as a favorite support this position. Rybakov, struggling, could still win a set.
Our Alex Rybakov vs Martin Damm predictions
Martin Damm to Win
Martin Damm is the designated favorite (odds 1.29). In the last 10 matches, he has 6 wins (60%) compared to only 2 for Rybakov (20%). As a favorite, Damm wins 80% of the time, compared to 60% for Rybakov. No known injury alerts. His superior form and consistency make him the most likely choice.
1.29
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Statistics indicate a high probability of a match in 2 sets. Outside Grand Slams, Damm finishes his matches in 2 sets 80% of the time, Rybakov 60%. When Damm is the favorite, this rate is 70%. Combined with the level difference, a quick match in 2 sets is the most expected scenario.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with a 2-set win for Damm. If the match plays out in 2 sets (6-4, 6-4 or similar scores), the total number of games will remain under 22.5. Damm's tendency to win his favorite matches in 2 sets (70%) and Rybakov's difficult form (80% losses) support this scenario. However, a tight set could push it over the limit, hence medium confidence.
1.72
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Alex Rybakov vs Martin Damm
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alex Rybakov vs Martin Damm Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 10% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 12% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 62% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 40% |
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