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Alex Rybakov - Pedro Boscardin Dias: our prediction

15/04/2026•22:05

#71

Alex Rybakov

1:2

6•2

5•7

Finished

#217

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias Preview — Tallahassee

Qualifying match on hard court in Tallahassee between American Alex Rybakov and Brazilian Pedro Boscardin Dias. Dias is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.72) and shows more solid form in his last 10 matches (6W-4L vs 4W-6L for Rybakov). Recent statistics suggest a short match, with a high probability of a 2-0 victory for the favorite.

Our Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias predictions

Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches are very clear: Dias finished 90% of his matches in 2 sets, Rybakov 50%. As a favorite, Dias has a 90% rate of 2-0 matches. Rybakov, as an outsider, has a 50% rate of 2-0 matches, but Dias as a favorite rarely loses a set (only 30% of the time). The probability of a 2-0 match is therefore very high.

1.58

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of a 2-0 match (see previous prediction), the total number of games is very likely to remain low. A tight 2-0 match (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) totals 20 games. Even with a tie-break, a 2-0 match rarely exceeds 23-24 games. Dias's tendency to win his matches in 2 sets (often dominantly) and the fact that Rybakov loses 60% of his recent matches support this scenario.

1.73

Confidence

High

Victory for Pedro Boscardin Dias

Dias is the designated favorite (odds 1.72) with superior recent form (60% win rate in last 10 matches vs 40% for Rybakov). He shows an 80% win rate as a favorite in this period, compared to 60% for Rybakov. His rate of 2-0 matches (90%) is also very high, reinforcing his position.

1.68

Confidence

High

Market signals on Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alex Rybakov	Pedro Boscardin Dias
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	28%	80%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	85%	80%