Rugby

Tennis

Luka Pavlovic - Rodrigo Pacheco: our prediction

11/04/2026•01:10

#197

Luka Pavlovic

2:1

2•6

6•4

7•6

Finished

#147

Rodrigo Pacheco

Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pacheco Preview — Mexico City

ATP match in Mexico City between Luka Pavlovic (underdog) and Rodrigo Pacheco (favorite). Pacheco shows more solid form (70% wins in last 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (90%). Pavlovic is competitive and often wins a set as an underdog (80%). A tight 3-set match is likely.

Our Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pacheco predictions

Rodrigo Pacheco to Win

Pacheco is the legitimate favorite (odds 1.66). His recent form is superior (7W/3L vs 6W/4L) and his statistics as a favorite are excellent (90% win rate). He also has a better percentage of 2-set wins as a favorite (60%). No known injury concerns.

1.63

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Both players' statistics indicate a high probability of a 3-set match. Pavlovic has 60% of his matches (excluding Majors) going to 3 sets, and Pacheco 50%. Furthermore, Pavlovic wins at least one set as an underdog in 80% of cases, while Pacheco loses a set as a favorite in 40% of cases. This favors a long match.

2.32

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

With a predicted 3-set match, the total games should exceed 22.5. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. The high probability of close sets, given Pavlovic's competitive profile, supports this bet. However, if Pacheco dominates clearly, the under remains possible, hence medium confidence.

1.83

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pacheco

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Luka Pavlovic vs Rodrigo Pacheco Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Luka Pavlovic	Rodrigo Pacheco
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	100%