Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: our prediction
17/04/2026•14:50

#21

Henrique Rocha
2:0
6•0
7•5
Finished

#93

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
-
1
-
X
-
2
Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Preview — Oeiras 3
Close match between Henrique Rocha and Pablo Llamas Ruiz. Llamas Ruiz is the slight favorite (odds 1.75) and shows slightly better form (80% wins in last 10 matches vs 70%). Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. No injuries reported.
Our Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
The statistics are very clear: outside Grand Slams, Henrique Rocha finishes 90% of his matches in 2 sets, and Pablo Llamas Ruiz 80%. Their performances as favorite or outsider confirm this trend towards short matches. The probability of a 3-set match is low.
1.55
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games in the match
The high probability of a 2-set match (prediction 1) mechanically reduces the total number of games. If Llamas Ruiz wins as expected, his statistics as a favorite show he loses a set in 50% of cases, but even in that scenario, a tight 2-set match or a 3-set match with uncontested sets could keep the total under 22.5 games. The trend towards short matches supports this bet.
1.76
Confidence
High
Victory for Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Pablo Llamas Ruiz is designated as the favorite by the bookmakers (odds 1.75). He shows a higher win rate (80% vs 70%) in the last 10 matches. His performance as a favorite is excellent (100% wins with odds between 1.0 and 1.2, 80% between 1.21 and 1.5). His recent form and favorite status put him in a good position.
1.67
Confidence
High
Market signals on Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Henrique Rocha vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 42% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 14% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 16% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 25% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 100% |
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