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Qinwen Zheng - Sofia Kenin: our prediction

24/04/2026•11:10

Qinwen Zheng

2:1

1•6

6•3

Finished

Sofia Kenin

Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin Preview — Madrid Open

Qinwen Zheng, the favorite, faces Sofia Kenin at the Madrid Open. Zheng shows solid form, especially as a favorite, while Kenin has recent struggles. The match should be dominated by Zheng.

Our Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin predictions

Victory for Qinwen Zheng

Zheng is clearly the favorite with odds of 1.25. She has an 80% win rate when favored, and Kenin has an 80% loss rate in her last 10 matches. Zheng dominates on hard court and is in full confidence.

1.24

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games

With a match expected in 2 sets dominated by Zheng, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Kenin struggles to compete, and Zheng is efficient.

1.55

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Kenin has 70% of her non-Slam matches in 2 sets, and Zheng 50% in 2 sets when favored. The expected dominance of Zheng suggests a match in straight 2 sets.

1.4

Confidence

High

Market signals on Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Qinwen Zheng	Sofia Kenin
Win \| Lose	5 5	2 8
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	40%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	60%