Rugby

Tennis

Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina: our prediction

26/04/2026•20:10

Qinwen Zheng

1:2

6•4

4•6

3•6

Finished

Elena Rybakina

Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Preview — Madrid Open

Qinwen Zheng faces Elena Rybakina at the Madrid Open. Rybakina is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.24, while Zheng is the underdog at 4.09. Rybakina has a 90% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Zheng. Rybakina is particularly strong as a favorite, with 100% wins in that role.

Our Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina predictions

Victory for Elena Rybakina

Rybakina is the logical favorite with very low odds. She has a 90% win rate in her last 10 matches and 100% as a favorite. Zheng, on the other hand, has only 60% wins and only 20% as an underdog. Rybakina is in great form and should prevail.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games in the match

A match in 2 straight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-3) totals 19 games, well below 22.5. Rybakina is very efficient and should win easily. Zheng struggles against favorites and should not push the match beyond 22.5 games.

1.51

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Rybakina finishes 70% of her matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams). Zheng, although more prone to 3 sets (60%), is the underdog and should be dominated. Rybakina as a favorite only loses a set in 20% of cases. A 2-set match is very likely.

1.4

Confidence

High

Market signals on Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Qinwen Zheng	Elena Rybakina
Win \| Lose	6 4	9 1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	85%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	57%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	71%