Mary Stoiana - Lulu Sun: our prediction
02/06/2026•14:55

#146

Mary Stoiana
2:1
4•6
7•6
6•2
Finished

#47

Lulu Sun
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun Preview — Birmingham
Match of the Birmingham tournament between Mary Stoiana and Lulu Sun. Lulu Sun is the favorite with odds at 1.46, while Mary Stoiana is the underdog at 2.51. Statistics show that Sun has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, but as a favorite she wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. Stoiana also has a 40% win rate, but tends to play matches in 3 sets (60% outside Grand Slams).
Our Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun predictions
Victory of Lulu Sun
Lulu Sun is the favorite with odds at 1.46, and her statistics as a favorite are solid: she wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. Mary Stoiana, although the underdog, has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches and often loses in 3 sets. Sun seems more reliable to win.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Lulu Sun, as a favorite, wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. Mary Stoiana, as an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (50% of her matches in 2 sets as an underdog). The probability that the match ends in 2 sets is high, making the bet 'under 2.5 sets' relevant.
1.44
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given that the match has a high probability of ending in 2 sets (see previous analysis), the total number of games should be under 22.5. On average, a tight 2-set match can reach 20-22 games, but with Sun as favorite and Stoiana as underdog, a score like 6-4, 6-3 is plausible, giving 19 games. The bet 'under 22.5 games' is therefore consistent with the prediction of under 2.5 sets.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 44% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 75% |
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