Tatjana Maria - Rebeka Masarova: our prediction
04/06/2026•15:25

#45

Tatjana Maria
0:2
4•6
3•6
Finished

#63

Rebeka Masarova
-
1
-
X
-
2
Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarova Preview — Birmingham
Birmingham tournament match between Tatjana Maria and Rebeka Masarova. Maria is the favorite with odds of 1.97, but Masarova (odds 1.77) has shown better recent form. The match is on grass, a fast surface that could favor Masarova's serve.
Our Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarova predictions
Victory for Rebeka Masarova
Masarova has a 60% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Maria. Additionally, Masarova is the favorite according to odds (1.77 vs 1.97) and has a better record as a favorite (60% wins). Maria tends to lose sets even when favored (30% set losses).
1.89
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Masarova has played 80% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 3 sets, and Maria 20% in 3 sets. However, Maria has a 30% set loss rate when favored, suggesting she could drop a set, forcing a third set. Additionally, both players have a 40% win rate as underdogs, indicating potential competitiveness.
2.3
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games could exceed 22.5. Maria tends to lose sets (30% set losses), lengthening matches. Additionally, both players have similar win rates, suggesting close games.
1.98
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarova
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarova Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 80% |
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