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Toby Samuel - August Holmgren: our prediction

12/06/2026

#89

Toby Samuel

12:00

Today

#66

August Holmgren

Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Preview — Ilkley

Match between Toby Samuel and August Holmgren in Ilkley. Samuel is the favorite with odds of 1.54, but Holmgren has a good recent record (70% wins). The match could be close.

Our Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren predictions

Victory for August Holmgren

Holmgren has an overall win rate of 70% in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Samuel. Furthermore, as an underdog, Holmgren wins 60% of his matches, while Samuel as a favorite wins 80% (but Samuel's odds are in a range where he sometimes loses a set). Recent form and ability to win as an underdog favor Holmgren.

2.3

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets

Samuel has played 80% of his matches in 3 sets (outside Grand Slams), and Holmgren 50%. Additionally, Samuel as a favorite often loses a set (70% of his matches as favorite). The trend is therefore towards a close match in 3 sets.

2.3

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

Although the match could go to 3 sets, both players tend to lose sets closely, but not necessarily with many games. The set statistics do not show a clear trend towards a high number of games. A close 3-set match could stay under 22.5 games.

1.98

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Toby Samuel	August Holmgren
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	33%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	42%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	90%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	83%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	85%	100%