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Toby Samuel - Zsombor Piros: our prediction

11/04/2026•13:10

#88

Toby Samuel

1:2

6•4

3•6

Finished

#121

Zsombor Piros

Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Piros Preview — Madrid

Zsombor Piros is the favorite (odds 1.73) against Toby Samuel (odds 2.00) in this ATP match in Madrid. Piros shows more solid form (70% wins in the last 10 matches) and better consistency as a favorite. Samuel, although performing well as an underdog, might be limited by his experience. No injuries reported.

Our Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Piros predictions

Victory for Zsombor Piros

Piros is the designated favorite (odds 1.73) with superior recent form (70% wins vs. 90% for Samuel, but Samuel has a less solid sample as a favorite). Statistics show Piros wins 90% of his matches as a favorite, vs. 90% for Samuel, but Samuel has more often been a favorite against weaker opponents. Piros's experience and consistency should make the difference.

1.7

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets when they are favorites (80% for Samuel, 60% for Piros in the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches). Piros, as a favorite, loses a set in 50% of cases, but Samuel, as an underdog, wins a set in 70% of cases. However, the level difference and the fast surface in Madrid could favor a two-set match.

1.55

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

If the match is played in 2 sets (previous prediction), the total number of games is very likely to stay under 22.5. Statistics on close sets are not provided, but the tendency for clear wins as a favorite for both players supports this assumption. A 2-set scenario with scores like 6-4, 6-3 or 6-4, 6-4 would result in 19 or 20 games.

1.75

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Piros

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Piros Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Toby Samuel	Zsombor Piros
Win \| Lose	9 1	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	66%