Derby County - Birmingham City: our prediction
21/03/2026•13:30
Derby County
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
Birmingham City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Derby County vs Birmingham City Preview — Championship
Derby County hosts Birmingham City in the Championship. Bookmakers have Birmingham City as slight favorites (odds 2.46) despite being away. Recent statistics show two teams with mixed performances, with a tendency for tight matches and few goals.
Our Derby County vs Birmingham City predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Derby County had under 2.5 goals in 5 cases (50%) and Birmingham City in 6 cases (60%). Both teams have relatively solid defenses (3 clean sheets each in 10 matches) and unprolific attacks. Historical trend and recent statistics support a low-scoring match.
1.8
Confidence
High
Birmingham City scores under 1.5 goals
Birmingham City has scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Their attack, led by Marvin Ducksch (5 goals in 10 matches), lacks consistency. Against a Derby County defense that has conceded 1 goal or less in 7 of its last 10 matches, Birmingham should struggle to score more than one goal.
1.4
Confidence
High
Derby County scores over 0.5 goals
Derby County has scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). At home, they should create chances against a Birmingham defense that has conceded at least one goal in 7 of its last 10 matches. Rhian Brewster (4 goals in 10 matches) is their most in-form scorer. However, the attack sometimes lacks efficiency, hence medium confidence.
1.3
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Derby County vs Birmingham City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Derby County vs Birmingham City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 1 4 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 50% |
2nd half | 30% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydon Banel | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Carlos Vicente |
| Sammie Szmodics | 25% (2/8) | 11% (1/9) | Ibrahim Osman |
| Carlton Morris | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Phil Neumann |
| Rhian Brewster | 33% (1/3) | 11% (1/9) | Marvin Ducksch |
| David Ozoh | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Tomoki Iwata |
| Oscar Fraulo | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Jhon Solis |
| Ben Brereton Diaz | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Patrick Roberts |
| Sondre Klingen Langaas | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Christoph Klarer |
10% (1/10) | Jay Stansfield | ||
11% (1/9) | August Priske |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydon Banel | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Carlos Vicente |
| Carlton Morris | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Marvin Ducksch |
| Ben Brereton Diaz | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Tomoki Iwata |
| Sammie Szmodics | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jhon Solis |
| Sondre Klingen Langaas | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Christoph Klarer |
| Rhian Brewster | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ibrahim Osman |
| David Ozoh | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Phil Neumann |
| Oscar Fraulo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Patrick Roberts |
⚽1 | Jay Stansfield | ||
⚽1 | August Priske |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 50% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Lineups
Derby County
4-2-3-1CoachJohn Eustace
Starting XI
Substitutes
Birmingham City
3-4-3CoachChris Davies
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Coventry City | 61%(28/46) |
| 2 |  | Millwall | 50%(24/48) |
| 3 |  | Ipswich Town | 49%(23/47) |
| 4 |  | Hull City | 47%(23/49) |
| 5 |  | Middlesbrough | 45%(22/49) |
| 6 |  | Southampton | 46%(22/48) |
| 7 | | Derby County | 43%(20/46) |
| 8 |  | Norwich City | 41%(19/46) |
| 9 |  | Wrexham | 41%(19/46) |
| 10 |  | Swansea City | 39%(18/46) |
| 11 |  | Sheffield United | 39%(18/46) |
| 12 | | Birmingham City | 37%(17/46) |
| 13 |  | Bristol City | 37%(17/46) |
| 14 |  | Queens Park Rangers | 35%(16/46) |
| 15 |  | Blackburn Rovers | 31%(15/48) |
| 16 |  | Stoke City | 33%(15/46) |
| 17 |  | Preston North End | 33%(15/46) |
| 18 |  | Portsmouth | 30%(14/47) |
| 19 |  | Watford | 30%(14/46) |
| 20 |  | Charlton Athletic | 28%(13/47) |
| 21 |  | West Bromwich Albion | 28%(13/46) |
| 22 |  | Leicester City | 26%(12/46) |
| 23 |  | Oxford United | 24%(11/46) |
| 24 |  | Sheffield Wednesday | 4%(2/47) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Championship
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Championship. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Championship est l'une des compétitions majeures de England. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Championship, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers