Derby County - Stoke City: our prediction
06/04/2026•16:00
Derby County
2:0
(0:0)
Finished
Stoke City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Derby County vs Stoke City Preview — Championship
Derby County hosts Stoke City in the Championship. The Rams are the bookmakers' favorites with odds of 1.85. In their last 10 matches, Derby has won 5, drawn 0, and lost 5. Stoke City, on the other hand, has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 5 over the same period. Recent statistics show that both teams often score, but Derby has a more solid defense at home.
Our Derby County vs Stoke City predictions
Derby County Win
Derby County is favored at home with odds of 1.85. In the last 10 matches, they have won 50% of their games (5/10) and conceded no draws. At home, they are more performant. Stoke City has less convincing form with only 30% wins (3/10) and a less solid defense away. The absence of information on major injuries reinforces confidence in a home win.
1.7
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
In the last 10 matches, Derby County has seen both teams score in 50% of cases (5/10). Stoke City has an even higher rate of 70% (7/10). Attack statistics show that both teams are capable of scoring: Derby scored in 80% of its matches (parou05: 8/10) and Stoke also in 80%. Defenses are less reliable: Derby kept a clean sheet only 3 times out of 10, Stoke only once. This favors a scenario with goals from both sides.
1.75
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Derby County exceeded 2.5 goals in 50% of cases (5/10). Stoke City has a higher rate of 70% (7/10). Derby's attack is solid (parou05: 8/10) but struggles to score more than 1.5 goals per match (parou15: 5/10). Stoke has a more prolific attack away. The combination of Stoke's weak defense away (cleansheet: 1/10) and Derby's attack at home can lead to a match with more than 2 goals. However, Derby's defense is relatively solid (underparou15: 5/10), which tempers enthusiasm.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Derby County vs Stoke City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Derby County vs Stoke City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 5 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 29% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 29% | 17% |
Win by being an outsider | 29% | 17% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydon Banel | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Lamine Cisse |
| Sammie Szmodics | 25% (2/8) | 20% (2/10) | Jesurun Rak-Sakyi |
| Carlton Morris | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Milan Smit |
| Ben Brereton Diaz | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Sorba Thomas |
| Oscar Fraulo | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Sam Gallagher |
| Sondre Klingen Langaas | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Million Manhoef |
| Rhian Brewster | 33% (1/3) | 10% (1/10) | Jun-Ho Bae |
| David Ozoh | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydon Banel | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Million Manhoef |
| Ben Brereton Diaz | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Lamine Cisse |
| Sammie Szmodics | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Milan Smit |
| Carlton Morris | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jesurun Rak-Sakyi |
| Sondre Klingen Langaas | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jun-Ho Bae |
| Rhian Brewster | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sorba Thomas |
| David Ozoh | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sam Gallagher |
| Oscar Fraulo | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 80% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 60% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 30% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 80% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 30% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Lineups
Derby County
4-2-3-1CoachJohn Eustace
Starting XI
Substitutes
Stoke City
3-4-2-1CoachMark Robins
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Coventry City | 61%(28/46) |
| 2 |  | Millwall | 50%(24/48) |
| 3 |  | Ipswich Town | 49%(23/47) |
| 4 |  | Hull City | 47%(23/49) |
| 5 |  | Middlesbrough | 45%(22/49) |
| 6 |  | Southampton | 46%(22/48) |
| 7 | | Derby County | 43%(20/46) |
| 8 |  | Norwich City | 41%(19/46) |
| 9 |  | Wrexham | 41%(19/46) |
| 10 |  | Swansea City | 39%(18/46) |
| 11 |  | Sheffield United | 39%(18/46) |
| 12 |  | Birmingham City | 37%(17/46) |
| 13 |  | Bristol City | 37%(17/46) |
| 14 |  | Queens Park Rangers | 35%(16/46) |
| 15 |  | Blackburn Rovers | 31%(15/48) |
| 16 | | Stoke City | 33%(15/46) |
| 17 |  | Preston North End | 33%(15/46) |
| 18 |  | Portsmouth | 30%(14/47) |
| 19 |  | Watford | 30%(14/46) |
| 20 |  | Charlton Athletic | 28%(13/47) |
| 21 |  | West Bromwich Albion | 28%(13/46) |
| 22 |  | Leicester City | 26%(12/46) |
| 23 |  | Oxford United | 24%(11/46) |
| 24 |  | Sheffield Wednesday | 4%(2/47) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Championship
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Championship. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Championship est l'une des compétitions majeures de England. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
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- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Championship, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
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- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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