Toulouse - Marseille: our prediction
07/03/2026•21:05
Toulouse
0:1
(0:1)
Finished
Marseille
-
1
-
X
-
2
Toulouse vs Marseille Preview — Ligue 1
Toulouse hosts Marseille in a Ligue 1 match. Marseille is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.3, while Toulouse is at 3. Recent statistics show that Marseille has a more efficient attack (Over 2.5 goals in 90% of the last 10 matches) but a less solid defense (Clean sheet only 10%). Toulouse, at home, struggles to win (30% wins) but often draws (40%). Both teams score in 50% of their respective matches.
Our Toulouse vs Marseille predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Marseille has an excellent rate of matches with over 2.5 goals (90% in the last 10 matches). Their attack, with Aubameyang and Greenwood, is very productive. Toulouse at home often sees goals (Over 2.5 at 30%, but their defense is vulnerable). Overall statistics and Marseille's offensive form support this bet.
1.74
Confidence
High
Marseille scores over 1.5 goals
Marseille has scored over 1.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches. Their attack is one of the most formidable in Ligue 1, with scorers like Aubameyang (5 goals) and Greenwood (5 goals). Against a Toulouse defense that often concedes (Clean sheet at 30%), Marseille has a high chance of scoring at least two goals.
1.95
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Both Toulouse and Marseille have a 50% rate of matches where both teams score in the last 10 matches. Toulouse at home has scored in 70% of recent matches, while Marseille has scored in 100% of matches. Defenses are unreliable (Clean sheet at 30% for Toulouse, 10% for Marseille), making this scenario likely.
1.6
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Toulouse vs Marseille
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Toulouse vs Marseille Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 38% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Emersonn | 30% (3/10) | 33% (3/9) | Amine Gouiri |
| Dayann Methalie | 25% (2/8) | 22% (2/9) | Mason Greenwood |
| Cristian Casseres Jr. | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang |
| Mario Sauer | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Igor Paixao |
| Seny Koumbassa | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Hamed Traore |
| Yann Gboho | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Ethan Nwaneri |
| Warren Kamanzi | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Santiago Hidalgo | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Aron Doennum | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Emersonn | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Amine Gouiri |
| Yann Gboho | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Mason Greenwood |
| Dayann Methalie | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg |
| Mario Sauer | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Igor Paixao |
| Santiago Hidalgo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ethan Nwaneri |
| Warren Kamanzi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Hamed Traore |
| Seny Koumbassa | ⚽1 | ||
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | ⚽1 | ||
| Aron Doennum | ⚽1 | ||
| Cristian Casseres Jr. | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 40% | 80% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 40% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Toulouse
3-4-3CoachCarles Martinez
Starting XI
Substitutes
Marseille
4-2-3-1CoachHabib Beye
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Paris Saint-Germain | 71%(24/34) |
| 2 |  | Lens | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 | | Marseille | 53%(18/34) |
| 4 |  | Lyon | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | Lille | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Rennes | 50%(17/34) |
| 7 |  | Monaco | 47%(16/34) |
| 8 |  | Strasbourg | 44%(15/34) |
| 9 | | Toulouse | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Paris FC | 32%(11/34) |
| 11 |  | Lorient | 32%(11/34) |
| 12 |  | Brest | 29%(10/34) |
| 13 |  | Angers | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Auxerre | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Nice | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | Le Havre | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | Nantes | 15%(5/34) |
| 18 |  | Metz | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Ligue 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Ligue 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Ligue 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de France. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Ligue 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
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