Toulouse - Lille: our prediction
12/04/2026•17:15
Toulouse
0:4
(0:1)
Finished
Lille
-
1
-
X
-
2
Toulouse vs Lille Preview — Ligue 1
Toulouse hosts Lille in a Ligue 1 match. Bookmakers favor Lille (odds 2.32). In the last 10 matches, Lille has won 6 times compared to 3 for Toulouse. Statistics show a tendency towards matches with fewer than 2.5 goals (60% for Toulouse, 70% for Lille).
Our Toulouse vs Lille predictions
Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, 60% of Toulouse's matches and 70% of Lille's matches ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. Both teams have relatively solid defenses (Toulouse: 2 clean sheets, Lille: 4). Lille's attack is effective but often limited to one goal per match (parou15: 30% success rate). Toulouse at home scores but rarely more than one goal (parou15: 20%). The statistical trend clearly points towards a low-scoring match.
1.65
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Toulouse has scored in 70% of its last 10 matches (parou05), Lille also in 70%. The defenses are not impenetrable (Toulouse: 80% of matches without a clean sheet, Lille: 60%). Toulouse at home tends to score (7/10) but also concedes (8/10 clean sheet 'no'). Lille, the favorite, can score but its away defense is not infallible. The 'Both Teams to Score' scenario is plausible, even in a low-scoring match.
1.89
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Lille is the favorite but its win rate over the last 10 matches is 60%, with 10% draws. Toulouse at home has a low win rate (30%) but also a low draw rate (20%). Statistics do not strongly favor a draw. However, the combination of a sometimes ineffective Lille away (30% defeats) and a resilient Toulouse at home could lead to a points split, especially in a tight, low-scoring match. This is a value bet, based on the attractive odds (3.20) and the possibility of a balanced match.
3.16
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Toulouse vs Lille
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Toulouse vs Lille Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 60% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 30% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 30% |
2nd half | 20% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Emersonn | 30% (3/10) | 40% (4/10) | Matias Fernandez-Pardo |
| Dayann Methalie | 25% (2/8) | 30% (3/10) | Hakon Arnar Haraldsson |
| Cristian Casseres Jr. | 11% (1/9) | 22% (2/9) | Thomas Meunier |
| Aron Doennum | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Olivier Giroud |
| Seny Koumbassa | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Romain Perraud |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Felix Correia |
| Mario Sauer | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Yann Gboho | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Santiago Hidalgo | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Warren Kamanzi | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Emersonn | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Matias Fernandez-Pardo |
| Yann Gboho | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Hakon Arnar Haraldsson |
| Dayann Methalie | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Thomas Meunier |
| Cristian Casseres Jr. | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Olivier Giroud |
| Mario Sauer | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Felix Correia |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Romain Perraud |
| Santiago Hidalgo | ⚽1 | ||
| Warren Kamanzi | ⚽1 | ||
| Seny Koumbassa | ⚽1 | ||
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | ⚽1 | ||
| Aron Doennum | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 60% | 50% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Toulouse
3-4-2-1CoachCarles Martinez
Starting XI
Substitutes
Lille
4-2-3-1CoachBruno Genesio
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Paris Saint-Germain | 71%(24/34) |
| 2 |  | Lens | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 | | Lille | 53%(18/34) |
| 4 |  | Marseille | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | Lyon | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Rennes | 50%(17/34) |
| 7 |  | Monaco | 47%(16/34) |
| 8 |  | Strasbourg | 44%(15/34) |
| 9 | | Toulouse | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Lorient | 32%(11/34) |
| 11 |  | Paris FC | 32%(11/34) |
| 12 |  | Brest | 29%(10/34) |
| 13 |  | Angers | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Auxerre | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Nice | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | Le Havre | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | Nantes | 15%(5/34) |
| 18 |  | Metz | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Ligue 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Ligue 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Ligue 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de France. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Ligue 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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