Marseille - Auxerre: our prediction
13/03/2026•20:45
Marseille
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Auxerre
-
1
-
X
-
2
Marseille vs Auxerre Preview — Ligue 1
Marseille, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.44, hosts Auxerre in Ligue 1. Over their last 10 matches, OM has a mixed record (4W, 3D, 3L) while Auxerre, often the underdog, struggles to win (1W, 4D, 5L). Recent statistics show an offensive trend for Marseille and often high-scoring games.
Our Marseille vs Auxerre predictions
Marseille to score over 1.5 goals
Marseille's attack is its strong point. Over the last 10 matches, OM has scored more than 1.5 goals in 60% of cases (6/10). Facing an Auxerre defense that has conceded at least one goal in 70% of its recent matches and struggles to keep a clean sheet (only 30% clean sheets), Marseille attackers like Greenwood and Aubameyang have every chance to score at least twice, especially with the support of the home crowd.
1.51
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Marseille's matches are often high-scoring. In their last 10 matches, 80% (8/10) have seen over 2.5 goals. OM has a performing attack but a defense that has conceded at least one goal in 80% of its recent matches. Even though Auxerre is less prone to matches with over 2.5 goals (40%), its weak attack (only 4 goals scored in 10 matches) could be offset by Marseille's strong offense which should score at least twice.
1.73
Confidence
High
Marseille to Win
Marseille is clearly the favorite at home (odds 1.44). Over the last 10 matches, OM has won 40% of its encounters, compared to only 10% for Auxerre. Moreover, Marseille has won 4 times out of 9 when favored, showing some reliability in this role. Marseille's attack, with Greenwood (5 goals) and Aubameyang (4 goals), should make the difference against an Auxerre defense that regularly concedes.
1.42
Confidence
High
Market signals on Marseille vs Auxerre
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marseille vs Auxerre Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 1 4 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 40% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 44% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 38% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 30% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amine Gouiri | 33% (3/9) | 56% (5/9) | Lassine Sinayoko |
| Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Sekou Mara |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Bryan Okoh |
| Mason Greenwood | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Danny Namaso |
| Ethan Nwaneri | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Sinaly Diomande |
| Igor Paixao | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Kevin Danois |
| Hamed Traore | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amine Gouiri | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Lassine Sinayoko |
| Mason Greenwood | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Bryan Okoh |
| Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Sekou Mara |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Danny Namaso |
| Hamed Traore | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sinaly Diomande |
| Igor Paixao | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kevin Danois |
| Ethan Nwaneri | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 80% |
1.5 | 90% | 60% |
2.5 | 60% | 40% |
3.5 | 40% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Marseille
4-2-3-1CoachHabib Beye
Starting XI
Substitutes
Auxerre
3-4-3CoachChristophe Pelissier
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Paris Saint-Germain | 71%(24/34) |
| 2 |  | Lens | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 | | Marseille | 53%(18/34) |
| 4 |  | Lyon | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | Lille | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Rennes | 50%(17/34) |
| 7 |  | Monaco | 47%(16/34) |
| 8 |  | Strasbourg | 44%(15/34) |
| 9 |  | Toulouse | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Paris FC | 32%(11/34) |
| 11 |  | Lorient | 32%(11/34) |
| 12 |  | Brest | 29%(10/34) |
| 13 |  | Angers | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 | | Auxerre | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Nice | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | Le Havre | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | Nantes | 15%(5/34) |
| 18 |  | Metz | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Ligue 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Ligue 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Ligue 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de France. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Ligue 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
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