Lorient - Marseille: our prediction
18/04/2026•17:00
Lorient
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
Marseille
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lorient vs Marseille Preview — Ligue 1
Lorient hosts Marseille in a Ligue 1 match. Marseille is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.7, against 4.5 for Lorient and 4 for the draw. In their last 10 matches, Lorient has won 2 games, drawn 5, and lost 3. Marseille has 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Recent statistics show that both teams often score (BTS at 50% for Lorient, 60% for Marseille) and matches tend to be close.
Our Lorient vs Marseille predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
This indicator is very solid. In the last 10 matches, Lorient had over 1.5 goals in 80% of cases (8/10) and Marseille also in 80% (8/10). Matches involving these two teams regularly produce at least 2 goals. With capable attacks (Lorient: 9 out of 10 matches with Over 0.5 goals; Marseille: 10/10) and leaky defenses, the scenario of a match with 2 or more goals is very likely.
1.14
Confidence
Very high
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Although both teams score, a goal fest is unlikely. In 10 matches, Lorient had under 3.5 goals in 80% of cases (8/10) and Marseille in 50% (5/10). Lorient rarely exceeds 2.5 goals per match (only 3 times in 10). Marseille, although more offensive, also has 7 out of 10 matches with Under 3.5 goals. The probability of a match with 1, 2, or 3 total goals is high, which is compatible with the BTS and Over 1.5 bets.
1.65
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Lorient has seen both teams score in 50% of cases (5/10) and Marseille in 60% (6/10). Defenses are unreliable: Lorient kept a clean sheet only 2 times, Marseille also 2 times. Lorient at home scores regularly (Over 0.5 goals at 90% over 10 matches) and Marseille away also (Over 0.5 goals at 80%). The probability of each team finding the net is strong.
1.52
Confidence
High
Market signals on Lorient vs Marseille
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lorient vs Marseille Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 5 3 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 25% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bamba Dieng | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Amine Gouiri |
| Arthur Avom | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang |
| Noah Cadiou | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Mason Greenwood |
| Aiyegun Tosin | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg |
| Pablo Pagis | 29% (2/7) | 10% (1/10) | Ethan Nwaneri |
| Panos Katseris | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Igor Paixao |
| Jean-Victor Makengo | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Hamed Traore |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bamba Dieng | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Amine Gouiri |
| Aiyegun Tosin | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang |
| Arthur Avom | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Mason Greenwood |
| Pablo Pagis | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg |
| Noah Cadiou | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Hamed Traore |
| Panos Katseris | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Igor Paixao |
| Jean-Victor Makengo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ethan Nwaneri |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 40% | 80% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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