Real Madrid - Deportivo Alaves: our prediction
21/04/2026•21:30
Real Madrid
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Deportivo Alaves
-
1
-
X
-
2
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves Preview — LaLiga
Real Madrid, the home favorite, faces Deportivo Alaves. Statistics show a clear superiority for Madrid with 5 wins in the last 10 matches, compared to only 1 for Alaves. Both teams score frequently (80% of matches for each team). The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet occurred 8 out of 10 times for Madrid and 6 out of 10 times for Alaves.
Our Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves predictions
Real Madrid Win
Real Madrid is the clear favorite (odds 1.26). In the last 10 matches, Madrid has won 5 times, compared to only 1 for Alaves. At home, Madrid is strong, and Alaves struggles away (1 win in 10 away matches). No information on major absences was found in the provided data. Madrid's offensive superiority (Mbappé, Vinicius, Valverde) should make the difference.
1.2
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Statistics are very favorable: in the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 80% of cases for each (8/10). Madrid has a defense that regularly concedes (only 1 clean sheet in 10). Alaves, with its strikers Martinez and Boye (4 goals each in 10 matches), has the ability to score, even away. The offensive form of both teams supports this bet.
1.67
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals
The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet occurred in 80% of Madrid's matches (8/10) and 60% of Alaves' matches (6/10) in the last 10 matches. Madrid has a prolific attack (Valverde 5 goals, Mbappé 2 goals in recent matches). Alaves also contributes offensively. However, Madrid could control the match and limit the total number of goals. The most likely scenario is a Madrid win 2-1 or 3-1, which validates this bet.
1.29
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 1 4 | 1 5 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 33% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 57% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 80% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 50% (4/8) | 70% (7/10) | Antonio Martinez |
| Vinicius Junior | 44% (4/9) | 20% (2/10) | Ibrahim Diabate |
| Gonzalo Garcia | 20% (2/10) | 29% (2/7) | Lucas Boye |
| Jude Bellingham | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Abderrahman Rebbach |
| Brahim Diaz | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Antonio Blanco |
| Arda Guler | 20% (1/5) | 10% (1/10) | Nahuel Tenaglia |
| Federico Valverde | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Angel Perez |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | Antonio Martinez |
| Kylian Mbappe | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Lucas Boye |
| Jude Bellingham | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ibrahim Diabate |
| Gonzalo Garcia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Abderrahman Rebbach |
| Arda Guler | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Nahuel Tenaglia |
| Federico Valverde | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Angel Perez |
| Brahim Diaz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Antonio Blanco |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 60% | 90% |
2.5 | 20% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Real Madrid
4-4-2CoachAlvaro Arbeloa
Starting XI
Substitutes
Deportivo Alaves
5-3-2CoachQuique Sanchez Flores
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Barcelona | 82%(31/38) |
| 2 | | Real Madrid | 71%(27/38) |
| 3 |  | Villarreal | 58%(22/38) |
| 4 |  | Atletico Madrid | 55%(21/38) |
| 5 |  | Real Betis | 39%(15/38) |
| 6 |  | Getafe | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Celta Vigo | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Valencia | 34%(13/38) |
| 9 |  | Athletic Bilbao | 34%(13/38) |
| 10 |  | Sevilla | 32%(12/38) |
| 11 |  | Espanyol | 32%(12/38) |
| 12 |  | Rayo Vallecano | 32%(12/38) |
| 13 | | Deportivo Alaves | 29%(11/38) |
| 14 |  | Real Sociedad | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Levante | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Osasuna | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Mallorca | 29%(11/38) |
| 18 |  | Elche | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Girona | 24%(9/38) |
| 20 |  | Real Oviedo | 16%(6/38) |
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