Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens: our prediction
19/04/2026•23:45
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:4
Finished OT
Montreal Canadiens
-
1
-
X
-
2
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Preview — NHL Playoffs
NHL playoff match between Tampa Bay Lightning (home) and Montreal Canadiens (away). Tampa shows solid form, with a clear offensive trend in the third period. Montreal, although strong away, has a less reliable defense. No injury information is available.
Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens predictions
Winner (Ordinary time) : Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning, the home favorite, shows solid form with 5 wins in the last 10 matches and excellent offensive performance in the third period (50% success rate for more goals). The Canadiens, although strong away (70% wins), have a less reliable defense (30% losses). The odds of 1.75 offer good value considering the home advantage and Tampa's offensive trend.
1.87
Confidence
High
Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Over 5.5 Goals
Statistics show an offensive trend for both teams: 100% success rate for over 2.5 goals per match, 80% for over 3.5, and 70% for over 4.5. For over 5.5, Tampa has a 50% success rate and Montreal 40%. Given the playoff stakes and Tampa's offense in the third period, a match with over 5 goals is plausible, but Montreal's defense could limit the total. The odds of 1.66 reflect a moderate risk.
1.7
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being an outsider | 60% | 40% |
Over goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st period | 0% | 50% |
2nd period | 30% | 0% |
3rd period | 10% | 0% |
Over goals (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 80% |
2.5 | 40% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 30% |
Under goals (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 10% |
1.5 | 20% | 20% |
2.5 | 60% | 50% |
3.5 | 90% | 70% |
4.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over goals (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
2.5 | 90% | 100% |
3.5 | 70% | 100% |
4.5 | 70% | 90% |
5.5 | 30% | 50% |
6.5 | 20% | 50% |
Under goals (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 30% | 0% |
4.5 | 30% | 10% |
5.5 | 70% | 50% |
6.5 | 80% | 50% |
Lineups
Tampa Bay Lightning
CoachJon Cooper
Substitutes
Montreal Canadiens
CoachMartin St. Louis
Substitutes
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