Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens: our prediction
22/04/2026•01:00
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:2
Finished OT
Montreal Canadiens
-
1
-
X
-
2
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Preview — NHL Playoffs
NHL playoff game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (home) and the Montreal Canadiens (away). Tampa Bay shows mixed form (4 wins in last 10 games), while Montreal is more performant (7 wins in 10). Both teams are offensive, with a strong trend towards games over 2.5 goals.
Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens predictions
Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Over 5.5 Goals
Both teams are very offensive: 100% of recent games exceeded 2.5 goals, 80% exceeded 3.5 goals. For Over 5.5, Tampa Bay has 60% and Montreal 50%, indicating high probability. Team stats (high parou15) confirm strong attack on both sides.
1.77
Confidence
Very high
Winner (Ordinary time) : Montreal Canadiens
Montreal shows superior form with 70% wins in last 10 games, compared to 40% for Tampa Bay. Offensive stats (parou15: 90% for Montreal vs 80% for Tampa) and defensive stats (defeats: 30% for Montreal vs 60% for Tampa) favor the Canadiens. The 3.31 odds offer good value.
3.36
Confidence
High
Market signals on Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being an outsider | 60% | 40% |
Over goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st period | 0% | 50% |
2nd period | 30% | 0% |
3rd period | 10% | 0% |
Over goals (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 80% |
2.5 | 40% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 30% |
Under goals (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 10% |
1.5 | 20% | 20% |
2.5 | 60% | 50% |
3.5 | 90% | 70% |
4.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over goals (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
2.5 | 90% | 100% |
3.5 | 70% | 100% |
4.5 | 70% | 90% |
5.5 | 30% | 50% |
6.5 | 20% | 50% |
Under goals (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 30% | 0% |
4.5 | 30% | 10% |
5.5 | 70% | 50% |
6.5 | 80% | 50% |
Lineups
Tampa Bay Lightning
CoachJon Cooper
Substitutes
Montreal Canadiens
CoachMartin St. Louis
Substitutes
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