Rugby

Tennis

Lorenzo Musetti - Marton Fucsovics: our prediction

06/03/2026•22:15

#15

Lorenzo Musetti

0:2

5•7

1•6

Finished

Marton Fucsovics

Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovics Preview — BNP Paribas Open

Lorenzo Musetti, the clear favorite, faces Marton Fucsovics at the BNP Paribas Open. Recent statistics show a clear superiority for Musetti, especially as a favorite. However, his matches tend to be tight, often with a lost set. Fucsovics, the underdog, struggles to win matches but can be competitive in a set.

Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovics predictions

Victory for Lorenzo Musetti

Musetti is the favorite with odds of 1.32. His statistics are solid: 80% wins in the last 10 matches, and 90% wins when favorite. He clearly outperforms Fucsovics in recent form. No known injury alerts.

1.32

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Musetti often loses a set as a favorite (70% of his matches as favorite see at least one set lost). Fucsovics, although less victorious, can be tenacious and win a set, as shown by his 20% wins of at least one set as an underdog. The match could go to 3 sets.

2.51

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

If the match goes to 3 sets, the total games should exceed 22.5. Even in 2 sets, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the limit is close. Musetti's tendency to lose sets and Fucsovics' competitiveness make a long match plausible.

2.04

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovics

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovics Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Lorenzo Musetti	Marton Fucsovics
Win \| Lose	8 2	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	60%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	28%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	57%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%