Rugby

Tennis

Stan Wawrinka - Matteo Martineau: our prediction

24/03/2026•12:10

Stan Wawrinka

1:2

6•2

4•6

6•7

Finished

#186

Matteo Martineau

Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau Preview — Naples

Stan Wawrinka, experienced veteran and three-time Grand Slam champion, faces the young and promising Matteo Martineau. Wawrinka is the clear favorite with odds of 1.29, benefiting from superior experience and power. However, his recent statistics show some inconsistency. Martineau, an ambitious underdog, could exploit any weakness to win a set. The match is played in Naples, outside of Grand Slams, favoring a best-of-three sets format.

Our Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau predictions

Stan Wawrinka to Win

Wawrinka is the legitimate favorite (odds 1.29). His experience, power, and favorite status are major assets. His statistics as a favorite (80% wins in his last 10 matches) are solid. Although his overall form is mixed (4W/6L in 10), he should dominate this match against a less experienced player.

1.22

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

If Wawrinka wins the match in two clear sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total games would be 19, under 22.5. Given his strong tendency to win in two sets as a favorite and the experience gap, a relatively short match is plausible. However, if Martineau makes a set tight, the total could exceed 22.5, hence medium confidence.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineau Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Stan Wawrinka	Matteo Martineau
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	83%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	42%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	42%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	42%