Rugby

Tennis

Sumit Nagal - Federico Bondioli: our prediction

25/03/2026•13:40

#92

Sumit Nagal

1:2

2•6

6•4

5•7

Finished

#246

Federico Bondioli

Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli Preview — Naples

Sumit Nagal, the clear favorite (odds 1.43), faces Federico Bondioli (odds 2.63) in Naples. Nagal shows solid form (60% win rate as favorite) and a tendency for three-set matches (70% outside Majors). Bondioli, less consistent (30% wins in his last 10), could offer resistance but starts with a clear statistical disadvantage.

Our Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli predictions

Sumit Nagal to Win

Nagal is the logical favorite (odds 1.43). His recent statistics are superior: 60% win rate as favorite compared to Bondioli's 40%. In his last 10 matches outside Majors, he won 70% in three sets, showing his ability to manage tight matches. Bondioli has a 70% loss rate in his last ten outings, strengthening Nagal's position.

1.5

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

The data indicates a high probability of a three-set match. Nagal finished 70% of his recent matches outside Majors in three sets. As a favorite, he loses at least one set 50% of the time. Bondioli, as an outsider, wins at least one set 70% of the time. These combined trends strongly suggest Bondioli can win a set, leading to a three-set match.

2.39

Confidence

High

Market signals on Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sumit Nagal	Federico Bondioli
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	14%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	42%	100%