Rugby

Tennis

Sumit Nagal - Francisco Cerundolo: our prediction

13/04/2026•13:10

#92

Sumit Nagal

0:2

2•6

Finished

#19

Francisco Cerundolo

Sumit Nagal vs Francisco Cerundolo Preview — BMW Open

Sumit Nagal, underdog, faces Francisco Cerundolo, favorite, on clay at the BMW Open. Cerundolo, more experienced and performing better on this surface, is expected to win, but Nagal could resist and take a set.

Our Sumit Nagal vs Francisco Cerundolo predictions

Francisco Cerundolo to Win

Cerundolo is clearly favored (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 30% for Nagal). On clay, his preferred surface, and as a favorite, he has a 70% win rate. No reported injuries contradict this trend.

1.06

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Nagal wins at least one set in 70% of cases as an underdog. Cerundolo loses a set in 40% of cases as a favorite. Their historical statistics outside Majors show a strong propensity for 3-set matches (60% for Nagal, 20% for Cerundolo, but as an underdog, Nagal is at 50%).

4.4

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

With a predicted 3-set match, the total games should exceed 22.5. Sets on clay are often tight, and both players can exchange breaks. The likelihood of contested sets supports this bet.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sumit Nagal vs Francisco Cerundolo

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sumit Nagal vs Francisco Cerundolo Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sumit Nagal	Francisco Cerundolo
Win \| Lose	3 7	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	30%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	30%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	70%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	14%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	57%	100%