Rugby

Tennis

Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev: our prediction

16/04/2026•13:40

#22

Lorenzo Sonego

0:2

2•6

3•6

Finished

Andrey Rublev

Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev Preview — Barcelona Open

Andrey Rublev, the favorite and higher-ranked, faces Lorenzo Sonego on clay in Barcelona. Rublev is confident with a low odd, but Sonego, as an underdog, has shown his ability to win sets against favorites.

Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev predictions

Andrey Rublev to Win

Rublev is clearly the favorite (odd 1.24). His statistics as a favorite are solid (60% wins in the last 10 matches). He is higher-ranked and more consistent. No injuries reported.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Sonego often wins at least one set as an underdog (60% in the last 10). Rublev often loses a set as a favorite (60% in the last 10). High probability of a 3-set match.

2.64

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of 3 sets, the total games should exceed 22.5. Sets on clay can be tight, and both players have a good serve. However, a clear win by Rublev in 2 tight sets is possible.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Lorenzo Sonego	Andrey Rublev
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	30%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	42%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	42%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%