Matteo Martineau - Michele Ribecai: our prediction
25/03/2026•14:50

#186

Matteo Martineau
1:2
6•2
4•6
2•6
Finished

#271

Michele Ribecai
-
1
-
X
-
2
Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecai Preview — Naples
ATP match in Naples between Matteo Martineau and Michele Ribecai. Ribecai is the favorite (odds 1.71) but his recent stats as a favorite are mixed (33% wins). Martineau, the underdog (odds 2.00), has a good ability to win at least one set as an underdog. No injury information. A tight match is expected.
Our Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecai predictions
Under 2.5 sets
Statistics show both players have a high rate of 2-set matches (50% each) outside Majors. Ribecai as favorite has a 50% rate of 2-set matches, and Martineau as underdog has a 60% rate. The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high.
1.56
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games
Although the match could be in 2 sets, the set loss statistics for favorites are high (Ribecai 100%, Martineau 60%). This suggests tight sets that could exceed 22.5 games, especially if Martineau wins a set. The odds of 2.00 offer value.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Michele Ribecai to win
Ribecai is designated favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.71). However, his recent stats as favorite are low (1 win out of 3, 33%). He also has a high loss rate (62.5% over last 8 matches). Confidence is moderate due to this irregular form.
1.73
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecai
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecai Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 3 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 75% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
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