Matteo Martineau - Raul Brancaccio: our prediction
03/04/2026•13:30

#186

Matteo Martineau
1:2
0•6
7•5
1•6
Finished

#168

Raul Brancaccio
-
1
-
X
-
2
Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancaccio Preview — Menorca
Matteo Martineau, the betting favorite, faces Raul Brancaccio in an ATP match on clay in Menorca. Martineau has mixed recent form (3W/7L) but is effective as a favorite (60% wins). Brancaccio, with better form (6W/4L), is solid as a favorite (60%) but rarely loses in straight sets (80% of his wins in 2 sets). No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a tendency towards three sets.
Our Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancaccio predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Brancaccio wins 80% of his victories in 2 sets (8/10). As a favorite, he wins 90% of the time in 2 sets. Martineau, as an outsider, wins a set 50% of the time, but Brancaccio is very strong at finishing quickly. The odds of 1.67 for Under 2.5 sets are attractive given these statistics.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of under 2.5 sets (match in two sets) also supports a lower total games count. If Brancaccio wins in two sets, as his statistics suggest, and the sets are potentially one-sided or tight but without too much extension, the total games should stay under 22.5. Consistency with the first bet strengthens this selection.
1.6
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Raul Brancaccio
Brancaccio has superior recent form (6W/4L vs 3W/7L for Martineau). He is effective as a favorite (60% wins) and his set statistics are solid. Although Martineau is the bookmakers' favorite, the recent performance data and the odds of 2.08 offer interesting value on Brancaccio's victory.
2.08
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancaccio
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Matteo Martineau vs Raul Brancaccio Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 42% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 57% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 57% |
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