Rugby

Tennis

Paula Badosa - Sinja Kraus: our prediction

12/03/2026•21:20

Paula Badosa

2:0

7•5

6•1

Finished

#98

Sinja Kraus

Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus Preview — Austin

Paula Badosa, a former top 10 player, faces qualifier Sinja Kraus in the first round in Austin. Badosa is the clear favorite with odds of 1.17, but her recent form is mixed (4 wins in last 10 matches). Kraus, confident after qualifying, has a good two-set win statistic (80%) as a favorite. The match could be tighter than the odds suggest.

Our Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus predictions

Paula Badosa to win

Badosa is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.17). Despite recent mixed form (40% win rate in last 10 matches), her experience and superior game level against a qualifier like Kraus should make the difference. Kraus has a good win rate as a favorite, but here she is the underdog.

1.17

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)

The players' statistics in non-Grand Slam matches strongly point to a 2-set match. Badosa wins 60% of her matches in 2 sets as a favorite, and Kraus 90%. Furthermore, Badosa has a very low odds, which often corresponds to clear victories. The probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5) seems low.

1.32

Confidence

High

Market signals on Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Paula Badosa	Sinja Kraus
Win \| Lose	4 6	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	85%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%