Rugby

Tennis

Paula Badosa - Aliaksandra Sasnovich: our prediction

19/03/2026•15:10

Paula Badosa

2:0

7•5

6•3

Finished

#29

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Preview — Miami Open

Paula Badosa, the designated favorite (odds 1.52), faces Aliaksandra Sasnovich at the Miami Open. Badosa shows solid but inconsistent form, with a 50% win rate in her last 10 matches. Sasnovich, the underdog (odds 2.48), has a higher win rate as a favorite (80%). Historical data suggests a tight match, with a high probability of the match going beyond two sets, given both players' tendencies to lose or win a set in this odds context.

Our Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show Badosa loses at least one set as a favorite in 70% of cases (7/10). Sasnovich wins at least one set as an underdog in 40% of cases (4/10). Furthermore, Badosa has played 40% of her recent matches in 3 sets, and Sasnovich 20%. Badosa's odds (1.52) place her in the 1.21-1.50 range, where she has lost a set in 100% of her recent matches as a favorite (4/4). All these factors point to a three-set match.

2.4

Confidence

High

Paula Badosa to win

Badosa is the bookmakers' designated favorite (odds 1.52). Her status and experience give her a theoretical advantage. However, her recent form is only a 50% win rate in her last 10 matches, and her win rate as a favorite is also 50%, indicating some fragility. She remains the more accomplished player and should win if she finds her best level, but confidence is moderate due to her inconsistency.

1.52

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Paula Badosa	Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%