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Nicolas Jarry - Adam Walton: our prediction

10/03/2026•21:55

#19

Nicolas Jarry

0:2

6•7

1•6

Finished

#89

Adam Walton

Nicolas Jarry vs Adam Walton Preview — Cap Cana

The experienced and higher-ranked Nicolas Jarry faces the young Adam Walton, who is the bookmakers' favorite. The match could be tight, with a tendency for Jarry to play three-set matches, while Walton has recently shown an ability to win matches in two sets.

Our Nicolas Jarry vs Adam Walton predictions

Adam Walton to Win

Adam Walton is the designated favorite (odds 1.72). His recent statistics show strong performance as a favorite, with a 50% win rate in that role over the last 10 matches, and a tendency to win matches in two sets (80% outside Grand Slams). Facing a higher-ranked but struggling opponent (0 wins, 10 losses in the last 10 matches), his current form and favorite status put him in a good position.

1.7

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Nicolas Jarry has played 60% of his recent matches (outside Grand Slams) in three sets as a favorite, and 60% in three sets overall. Adam Walton, although strong in two sets recently, has a high rate (90%) of losing at least one set as a favorite. The ranking difference and Jarry's experience suggest he can win a set, even in defeat.

2.25

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

A three-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Furthermore, Walton's set loss statistics as a favorite (90%) and Jarry's ability to win sets as an outsider (60%) suggest potentially tight sets. Even a two-set match could exceed this total if the sets are contested (e.g., 7-5, 7-6). Caution is advised as Walton could also win convincingly.

1.78

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nicolas Jarry vs Adam Walton

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nicolas Jarry vs Adam Walton Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nicolas Jarry	Adam Walton
Win \| Lose	10	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	90%	75%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%