Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionov — Prediction
11/04/2026
#19
Nicolas Jarry
16:00
Today
#51
Jurij Rodionov
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Nicolas Jarry, the match favorite, faces Jurij Rodionov in Madrid. Jarry, more experienced and higher-ranked, is favored on clay. Rodionov, in recent form, could offer resistance. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Nicolas Jarry to Win
Jarry is clearly favored (odds 1.54). His statistics as a favorite (60% wins) and his superiority on clay against the less consistent Rodionov support this bet. No known injuries.
1.54
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games
With the likelihood of a three-set match or tight sets (Jarry favored but Rodionov resilient), the total games should exceed 22.5. Playing styles and set statistics support this scenario.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 Sets
Rodionov has won 70% of his recent matches and often wins a set as an outsider (60%). Jarry loses a set as a favorite in 40% of cases. A three-set match is plausible.
2.36
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 20% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 90% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 66% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
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