Rugby

Tennis

Nicolas Jarry - Jurij Rodionov: our prediction

11/04/2026•17:15

#19

Nicolas Jarry

1:2

7•6

6•7

Finished

#51

Jurij Rodionov

Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionov Preview — Madrid

Nicolas Jarry, the match favorite, faces Jurij Rodionov in Madrid. Jarry, more experienced and higher-ranked, is favored on clay. Rodionov, in recent form, could offer resistance. No injuries reported.

Our Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionov predictions

Nicolas Jarry to Win

Jarry is clearly favored (odds 1.54). His statistics as a favorite (60% wins) and his superiority on clay against the less consistent Rodionov support this bet. No known injuries.

1.45

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games

With the likelihood of a three-set match or tight sets (Jarry favored but Rodionov resilient), the total games should exceed 22.5. Playing styles and set statistics support this scenario.

1.86

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 Sets

Rodionov has won 70% of his recent matches and often wins a set as an outsider (60%). Jarry loses a set as a favorite in 40% of cases. A three-set match is plausible.

2.38

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionov

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nicolas Jarry vs Jurij Rodionov Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nicolas Jarry	Jurij Rodionov
Win \| Lose	3 7	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	20%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	90%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	66%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	80%