Rugby

Tennis

Nicolas Jarry - Jaime Faria: our prediction

16/04/2026•18:00

#19

Nicolas Jarry

0:0

Finished

#60

Jaime Faria

Nicolas Jarry vs Jaime Faria Preview — Oeiras 3

Nicolas Jarry, the favorite (odds 1.69), faces Jaime Faria (odds 2.03) in Oeiras. Jarry is more experienced and favored, but Faria shows solid recent form (70% win rate in last 10 matches). Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets.

Our Nicolas Jarry vs Jaime Faria predictions

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5) increases the probability of a high number of games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5 = 24 games) can exceed this limit. Considering the players' profiles and the likelihood of tight sets, the total games should be high.

1.76

Confidence

Medium

Victory for Nicolas Jarry

Jarry is designated favorite by the bookmakers (odds 1.69). He has superior experience. However, his recent form is only 40% wins in the last 10 matches, compared to 70% for Faria. Victory is not assured, but his favorite status and experience could make the difference in key moments.

1.66

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nicolas Jarry vs Jaime Faria

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nicolas Jarry vs Jaime Faria Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nicolas Jarry	Jaime Faria
Win \| Lose	4 6	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	28%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	71%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	90%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	28%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	71%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	57%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	75%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%