Rugby

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Nicolas Jarry - Dominic Stephan Stricker: our prediction

09/04/2026•15:10

#19

Nicolas Jarry

2:0

6•2

7•6

Finished

#92

Dominic Stephan Stricker

Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Preview — Madrid

Nicolas Jarry, a slight favorite, faces Dominic Stephan Stricker in Madrid. Recent statistics show solid form from Stricker, but Jarry has the advantage of experience and performances as a favorite. No injuries reported. A tight match expected, likely to go over two sets.

Our Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Stricker predictions

Over 2.5 sets

Statistics indicate both players tend to play tight matches. Jarry has lost at least one set in 50% of his matches as favorite, while Stricker has won at least one set in 50% of his matches as outsider. With identical odds, a three-set match is likely.

2.26

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games

A three-set match (prediction 1) increases the likelihood of exceeding 22.5 games. Furthermore, statistics on tight sets (Jarry often loses a set as favorite, Stricker often wins one as outsider) suggest contested sets, potentially with tie-breaks, pushing the total game count higher.

1.7

Confidence

High

Nicolas Jarry to win

Jarry is designated as the favorite (fav: away in the JSON, but odds are identical at 1.85, indicating a balanced match). His win rate as favorite is 50% in his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Stricker as outsider. His experience and consistency on clay give him a slight edge.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Stricker

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nicolas Jarry	Dominic Stephan Stricker
Win \| Lose	1 9	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	90%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	57%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	42%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	80%